Pat Forde from ESPN’s Pick Clemson/Nebraska

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KONICA MINOLTA GATOR BOWL
Nebraska vs. Clemson
Jan. 1, 1 p.m. ET
Jacksonville, Fla.

Why watch: To feel the 27-year-old nostalgia dating to the last time these two met in a bowl game, when Clemson won 22-15 on the way to its only national championship. Homer Jordan, anyone?

40-second analysis: In what surely has to be the first Dabo versus Bo coaching matchup in college football history, the unit most in need of proving itself is Nebraska’s defense. It has surrendered 28 or more points in seven of its past nine outings, not all of them against the elite offensive units of the Big 12. Clemson’s offense is nowhere near elite, but it’s capable of scoring four touchdowns. Which should be enough.

Dash pick: Clemson 29, Nebraska 26

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4 Responses to “Pat Forde from ESPN’s Pick Clemson/Nebraska”

  1. warpedmind24x7 Says:

    I’m surprised Forde picks up to win considering he gave Clemson a D+ for hiring CDS.

  2. Nebraska has not beaten any great teams this year and regularly gives up field position. They also have had some turnover problems. This is more of a home game for Clemson than Nebr. Clemson is confident they can beat the corn.

  3. warpedmind24x7 Says:

    Here is what Accuscore thinks about the game:

    BASELINE: NEBRASKA 56% CLEMSON 44% SCORE 27-25

    Both teams managed late season comebacks to make it in to the Konica Minolta Gator Bowl, with Clemson rallying to win four of their last five games, and Nebraska winning five of their last six games. It’s hard to say who is happier to be playing in a January bowl game: Clemson with their 7-5 record, or Nebraska, who weren’t even eligible for a bowl last year. Nebraska is taking advantage of the opportunity, winning 56 percent of AccuScore simulations against Clemson, by an average score of 27-25.

    Roy Helu is leading a Nebraska rushing attack that is combining for 110 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. Quarterback Joe Ganz is completing four passes to Nate Swift for 53 yards, with a touchdown in 40 percent of simulations. Nebraska’s defense is coming up big, recording four sacks and four turnovers.

    Cullen Harper is throwing for 234 yards, one touchdown, and one interception for Clemson, while James Davis and C.J. Spiller are combining for 94 rushing yards and a touchdown on 23 carries. Clemson is forcing three turnovers, but that’s not enough to take the victory against the Cornhuskers.

    TURNOVERS ARE THE KEY STATISTIC

    Turnovers will likely determine the outcome of this game. Both Quarterbacks are averaging over 1 interception. Nebraska is averaging 2.9 turnovers per simulation and Clemson is averaging 3.5 turnovers. Using the AccuScore Custom Game Simulator the following table shows how turnovers impact each teams’ chances of winning the game.

    NEBRASKA WIN% CLEMSON WIN%
    ZERO TURNOVERS 72% ZERO TURNOVERS 61%
    BASELINE (2.5) 56% BASELINE (3.5) 44%
    3 OR MORE 48% 3 OR MORE 39%

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